The main purpose of the course is to introduce the student to the nature and scope of statistical methods. The increasing use of statistical techniques in almost all fields of human endeavor has led to a proliferation of techniques of varying complexity. MATH 124 is not meant to be a cram course in such methods. The main problems of statistical inference are introduced and several important techniques are discussed with the emphasis at all times on the underlying concepts. The student must be led to appreciate the fact that the validity of any statistical analysis rests heavily on the realism of the underlying probability models and on the proper experimental design.
The students will learn how to perform basic sampling and review experimental designs. They will be able to calculate descriptive statistics and present data in various forms such as tables and graphs. They will be able to analyze data using inferential techniques. They will learn to use probability to discuss everyday events such as playing Lotto and other games and use probability to bridge the gap between descriptive statistics and inferential statistics.
Evaluation of Students
Instructors assessment is usually based on homework, quizzes, computer assignments, exams and a final.
- Introduction: Some examples where statistics is applicable; Need for mathematical models
- Descriptive Statistics: Frequency tables, Histograms, Bar graphs, Pie charts, Stem-and-Leaf plots, Time plots, Boxplots, and their interpretation; Measures of central tendency (Mean, Median, Mode); Measures of dispersion (Range, Percentiles, Interquartile range, Variance, Standard Deviation) (2 weeks)
- Correlation and Linear Regression; Scatter plot, Correlation Coefficient; Least-Square Linear Regression, Coefficient of determination (2 weeks)
- Probability Theory: Random Variables, General Probability Rules, Conditional Probability, Independent Events, Bayess Theorem (2 weeks)
- Probability and Sampling Distributions: Binomial distribution, Normal distribution, Approximation of Binomial Distribution with normal distribution, Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem (2 weeks)
- Sampling & Designing of Experiments: Simple Random Samples, Use of random number tables, Probability Samples, Stratified Random Samples, Multistage Samples; Comparative Experiments, Randomized Comparative Experiments; Completely Randomized Designs, Block Designs (1 week)
- Estimation: Point Estimation, Margin of Error, Confidence Interval Estimation for means and proportions, for One-Sample and Two-Sample problems (3 weeks)
- Test of Significance: Null and Alternative Hypotheses, Type I and Type II Errors, Significance Level, p-value, Hypothesis testing for means and proportions, for One-Sample and Two-Sample problems (2 weeks)
- Chi-Square Tests: Contingency Tables; Test of independence; Goodness of fit test; Test of Homogeneity (1 week)
Textbooks & Software
- Michael Sullivan, III, Statistics Informed Decisions Using Data.
- David S. Moore, Freeman, The Basic Practice of Statistics.
- Microsoft Excel
Submitted by: M.R. Kafai
Date: June 11, 2003